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How Mass Palliatives Purchase By FG Is Fuelling Food Inflation- Cardoso

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Olayemi Cardoso, the Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria has identified the mass purchase of foodstuffs by the government as palliatives as one factors fueling the rising food inflation in the country.

Cardoso made this known in his contributions during the March monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting, which was published on CBN’s website

It would be recalled that food inflation hit 40.01% in March 2024 up from 37.92% in February.

On March 25, MPC increased the interest rate from 22.75 percent to 24.75 percent, in a bid to tame inflation.

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Commenting on inflation, Cardoso said inflationary pressure had failed to abate despite the hike in the interest rate in February.

“Despite notable stability in the foreign exchange market resulting from decisions taken at that 293rd MPC meeting, inflationary pressure remains unabated,” he said.

“While there is the argument that the significant tightening since the last MPC meeting is yet to fully permeate the system and yield its expected impact, the risk of galloping inflation persists.

“If such a hyperinflationary scenario is to become reality, available options to control inflation could be severely constrained.

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“From the facts presented to the MPC, there is a clear indication that the monetary factors contributing to inflation are diminishing in their significance.

“This could be considered as evidence of the impact of decisions reached at the 293rd MPC meeting. Staff reports show that the principal drivers of acceleration in inflation are hikes in food and energy prices which are associated with structural factors.

“Further, new dimensions of inflationary pressure are emerging. First, ‘seller inflation’ arising from the oligopolistic structure of commodity markets such as noticed in the prices of local commodities is gaining significance.

“In addition, huge purchases by the government for distribution as palliatives to vulnerable citizenry is adding another dimension to the food price inflation, with seasonal factors of food price increases during religious fasting and festive periods, adding price cyclicality.”

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The CBN governor further said the new sources of inflation were better addressed by the fiscal authorities to complement the efforts of monetary policy.

Another member of the committee, Bala Bello, echoed a similar sentiment about the rising inflationary trend, saying both “food and core inflation rose in February 2024, underpinning acceleration in headline inflation to 31.70 per cent in February 2024 from 29.90 per cent in the previous month”.

“This continued rise in inflation was mainly due to persisting high production costs, lingering security challenges and exchange rate pressures,” Bello said.

“Inflation is currently unacceptably high and requires decisive and coordinated efforts to curb it, given its adverse impact on citizens’ purchasing power, investment decisions and broad output performance.”

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