The World Bank has projected a significant drop in Nigeria’s inflation rate to 24.8 percent year-on-year (YoY) in 2024.
This is as the country currently battles rising inflation which currently stands at 31.7 percent in February, the
The Matrix reports that the Nigerian Bureau of Statistics (NBS) pegged the current rate at 31.7 per cent in February from 29.9 recorded in January.
This projection was contained in the April 2024 edition of Africa’s Pulse, a biannual survey of African economies released by the global lender.
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“Inflation is cooling in most Sub-Saharan African economies but remains high. The median inflation in the region is projected to fall from 7.1 per cent in 2023 to 5.1 per cent in 2024 and 5 per cent in 2025–26. The normalization of global supply chains, steady decline of commodity prices, and impacts of monetary tightening and fiscal consolidation are contributing to a lower rate of inflation in the region.
“Although inflation is receding in most countries in 2024, it remains high compared to pre-pandemic levels: inflation is projected to decrease in about 80 per cent of African countries compared with 2023, but it is still higher than pre-pandemic levels in 32 of 37 countries. Moreover, 14 countries in the region still exhibit persistently high levels of inflation (two or more digits) this year—with a median inflation rate that has dropped modestly from 25.9 per cent in 2023 to 24.8 per cent in 2024,” the report said.
The report highlighted various factors contributing to this decline, including the normalization of global supply chains, a steady decline in commodity prices, and the effects of monetary tightening and fiscal consolidation.
While acknowledging the reduction in inflation across most African countries compared to 2023, the report emphasized that it remains high compared to pre-pandemic levels.
It noted that 14 countries in the region still experience persistently high levels of inflation, with a median inflation rate dropping modestly from 25.9 percent in 2023 to 24.8 percent in 2024.
The World Bank also reaffirmed its projection of 3.3 percent economic growth for Nigeria in 2024, with a slight adjustment in the projections for 2025 to 2026. It stressed the importance of macroeconomic and fiscal reforms in driving sustainable growth, particularly in the non-oil sector.
Continuing, the report highlighted the challenges of poverty red uction in the region. It stated that the speed of poverty reduction has decreased significantly since 2014, with Nigeria and the Democratic Republic of Congo accounting for a significant portion of those living in extreme poverty.
To address these challenges, the World Bank noted the need to tackle structural inequality, stating that the region can accelerate growth and poverty reduction substantially by addressing this issue.
